Date of Prediction: 2015-10-21 Version:1
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Analysis
Trump Vs Clinton. The email scandal takes a toll on plastic clinton among white collar independents who stay home or vote for some 3rd party protest vote. Blue collar populists drift to Trump's camp, many former Ross Perot supporters who haven't voted since Bush in 2000. This bodes well for Trump in the heartland. Blacks stay home not having Obama on the ticket and Hispanics in CA and the North East dislike trump running up the score in costal strongholds for Clinton, while older more rural and established Hispanics plus the Cubans lean Trump. Students sit this one out upset at the heavy hand the DNC and Hillary used to win the primary against Bernie. Trump wins the gender gap with the male vote. Hillary wins the White Collar female vote heavily while more blue collar females are more mixed eating into her lead among women.
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