Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.
| | 270 | | 538 | | | | Clinton | 233 | |  |
| Trump | 191 | |
| Ind | 0 | |
| Tos | 114 | |
State Pick-ups
|
Gain |
Loss |
Hold |
Toss |
|
ST |
EV |
ST |
EV |
ST |
EV |
ST |
EV |
| Clinton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 233 | 7 | 99 | | Trump | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 191 | 1 | 15 | | Ind | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Polls Aggregate History Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls
| State |
Spread |
Trump |
Clinton |
McMullin |
Und |
WinD |
WinR |
WinI |
Ties |
Inc |
Status |
| FL | Tie | 47% | 47% | 0% | 2% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | D - I | Tossup | | NV | Tie | 46% | 46% | 0% | 3% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | D - I | Tossup | | NC | C +1 | 45% | 46% | 0% | 6% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | R - I | Tossup | | CO | C +2 | 42% | 45% | 0% | 5% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D - I | Slight Democratic | | PA | C +2 | 44% | 46% | 0% | 5% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | D - I | Tossup | | IA | R +3 | 44% | 41% | 0% | 7% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | D - I | Tossup | | MI | C +3 | 44% | 46% | 0% | 5% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | D - I | Tossup | | AZ | R +4 | 46% | 42% | 0% | 2% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | R - I | Slight Republican | | NH | C +4 | 42% | 46% | 0% | 6% | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | D - I | Tossup | | OH | R +4 | 47% | 43% | 0% | 5% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | D - I | Tossup | | GA | R +5 | 49% | 44% | 0% | 3% | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | R - I | Lean Republican | | NM | C +5 | 40% | 45% | 0% | 3% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D - I | Lean Democratic | | VA | C +5 | 42% | 47% | 1% | 8% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D - I | Lean Democratic | | WI | C +5 | 43% | 48% | 0% | 5% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | D - I | Lean Democratic |
Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls
| State |
Spread |
Trump |
Clinton |
McMullin |
Und |
WinD |
WinR |
WinI |
Ties |
Inc |
Status |
Most Recent State Polls
| State |
Date |
Poll Source |
Spread |
DT |
HC |
EM |
Other |
Und |
MOE |
Sample |
#C |
| WI |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | C +3 | 44% | 47% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 3% |
1,184 L |
13 |
| VA |
11-06 |
Hampton University | C +4 | 41% | 45% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 4% |
802 L |
9 |
| VA |
11-06 |
Christopher Newport University | C +6 | 42% | 48% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 4% |
1,193 L |
9 |
| SC |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | R +5 | 48% | 43% | 0% | 4% | 6% | 2% |
1,751 L |
13 |
| PA |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | C +6 | 40% | 46% | 0% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
1,220 L |
13 |
| OR |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | C +4 | 40% | 44% | 0% | 11% | 4% | 2% |
1,963 L |
13 |
| OH |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | R +6 | 48% | 42% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 2% |
1,781 L |
13 |
| NC |
11-06 |
Siena Research Institute | Tie | 44% | 44% | 0% | 3% | 9% | 4% |
800 L |
27 |
| NC |
11-06 |
Quinnipiac University | C +2 | 45% | 47% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
870 L |
20 |
| NY |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | C +19 | 36% | 55% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 2% |
1,681 L |
13 |
| NM |
11-06 |
Other Source | C +2 | 44% | 46% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 2% |
8,439 L |
21 |
| NH |
11-06 |
University of New Hampshire | C +10 | 38% | 48% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 4% |
707 L |
81 |
| NV |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | C +2 | 43% | 45% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 3% |
1,158 L |
11 |
| MI |
11-06 |
Trafalgar Group | R +2 | 49% | 47% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
1,200 L |
53 |
| GA |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | R +4 | 48% | 44% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
2,002 L |
13 |
| FL |
11-06 |
Opinion Savvy | C +2 | 46% | 48% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 4% |
853 L |
4 |
| FL |
11-06 |
Trafalgar Group | R +4 | 50% | 46% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 3% |
1,100 L |
8 |
| FL |
11-06 |
Quinnipiac University | C +1 | 45% | 46% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 3% |
884 L |
20 |
| CO |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | C +1 | 43% | 44% | 0% | 7% | 6% | 3% |
1,378 L |
13 |
| AZ |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | R +2 | 45% | 43% | 0% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
1,453 L |
13 |
| AK |
11-06 |
Gravis Marketing | R +3 | 44% | 41% | 0% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
617 L |
13 |
| AK |
11-06 |
Other Source | R +16 | 47% | 31% | 0% | 19% | 3% | 5% |
382 L |
|
| UT |
11-05 |
Trafalgar Group | R +10 | 40% | 30% | 25% | 4% | 2% | 3% |
1,352 L |
12 |
| UT |
11-05 |
YouGov | R +16 | 40% | 23% | 24% | 8% | 6% | 5% |
762 L |
17 |
| PA |
11-05 |
Trafalgar Group | R +1 | 48% | 47% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
1,300 L |
42 |
| PA |
11-05 |
YouGov | C +2 | 43% | 45% | 0% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
931 L |
17 |
| OH |
11-05 |
Emerson College | R +7 | 46% | 39% | 0% | 10% | 6% | 3% |
900 L |
3 |
| OH |
11-05 |
Columbus Dispatch | C +1 | 47% | 48% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 3% |
1,151 L |
69 |
| NH |
11-05 |
Emerson College | C +1 | 44% | 45% | 0% | 8% | 3% | 3% |
1,000 L |
3 |
| NV |
11-05 |
Emerson College | C +1 | 46% | 47% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
600 L |
3 |
| GA |
11-05 |
YouGov | R +6 | 49% | 43% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
995 L |
17 |
| VA |
11-04 |
Public Policy Polling | C +5 | 43% | 48% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
1,238 L |
40 |
| PA |
11-04 |
Other Source | C +4 | 43% | 47% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
1,033 L |
0 |
| PA |
11-04 |
Muhlenberg College | C +4 | 40% | 44% | 0% | 8% | 7% | 6% |
420 L |
30 |
| OH |
11-04 |
YouGov | R +1 | 46% | 45% | 0% | 5% | 4% | 4% |
1,189 L |
41 |
| NC |
11-04 |
Gravis Marketing | C +1 | 45% | 46% | 0% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
1,250 L |
26 |
| NY |
11-04 |
Siena Research Institute | C +17 | 34% | 51% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 5% |
617 L |
31 |
| NV |
11-04 |
Trafalgar Group | R +5 | 50% | 45% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 3% |
1,100 L |
44 |
| MI |
11-04 |
Gravis Marketing | C +5 | 41% | 46% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 3% |
1,079 L |
26 |
| MI |
11-04 |
Public Policy Polling | C +5 | 41% | 46% | 0% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
957 L |
40 |
| IA |
11-04 |
Selzer & Co | R +7 | 46% | 39% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 4% |
800 L |
186 |
| FL |
11-04 |
YouGov | Tie | 45% | 45% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 4% |
1,188 L |
41 |
| CO |
11-04 |
Public Policy Polling | C +5 | 43% | 48% | 1% | 6% | 3% | 4% |
704 L |
40 |
| UT |
11-03 |
Y2 Analytics | R +5 | 33% | 24% | 28% | 10% | 5% | 4% |
500 L |
4 |
| PA |
11-03 |
Harper Polling | Tie | 46% | 46% | 0% | 3% | 5% | 4% |
504 L |
60 |
| OH |
11-03 |
Other Source | R +3 | 43% | 40% | 0% | 11% | 6% | 3% |
844 L |
|
| NM |
11-03 |
Research & Polling Inc | C +5 | 40% | 45% | 0% | 14% | 2% | 4% |
504 L |
14 |
| MI |
11-03 |
Mitchell Research | C +5 | 41% | 46% | 0% | 10% | 3% | 3% |
1,007 L |
36 |
| MI |
11-03 |
EPIC/MRA | C +4 | 38% | 42% | 0% | 7% | 13% | 4% |
600 L |
18 |
| IA |
11-03 |
Loras College | C +1 | 43% | 44% | 0% | 6% | 7% | 4% |
500 L |
31 |
| IA |
11-03 |
Emerson College | R +3 | 44% | 41% | 0% | 9% | 5% | 4% |
700 L |
27 |
| IN |
11-03 |
Public Opinion Strategies | R +11 | 48% | 37% | 0% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
600 L |
7 |
| GA |
11-03 |
Opinion Savvy | R +4 | 49% | 45% | 0% | 6% | 1% | 4% |
538 L |
10 |
| WI |
11-02 |
Remington Research Group | C +8 | 41% | 49% | 0% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
2,720 L |
|
| WI |
11-02 |
Other Source | C +4 | 43% | 47% | 0% | 5% | 5% | 3% |
1,129 L |
0 |
| WA |
11-02 |
Survey USA | C +12 | 38% | 50% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 4% |
681 L |
14 |
| VA |
11-02 |
Remington Research Group | C +2 | 44% | 46% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
3,076 L |
|
| UT |
11-02 |
Emerson College | R +12 | 40% | 20% | 28% | 5% | 8% | 3% |
1,000 L |
9 |
| UT |
11-02 |
Monmouth University | R +6 | 37% | 31% | 24% | 5% | 2% | 5% |
402 L |
20 |
| PA |
11-02 |
Remington Research Group | C +1 | 45% | 46% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
2,683 L |
|
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