Election 2018 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-11-05 Version:4

Prediction Map

UlmerFudd Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

UlmerFudd Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	19
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	15
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+3	+5	+8	0	0	0	5	4	9	+8
Rep	+1	0	+1	-3	-5	-8	10	8	18	-7
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	-1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
61	33	28

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		1	5	74	T	115
2022 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%		2	4	147	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	25/36	57/72	79.2%		2	4	130	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		3	7	1	T	118
2020 President	55/56	46/56	101/112	90.2%		2	11	23	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%		2	9	44	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%		2	11	3	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		3	22	130	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	20/35	53/70	75.7%		3	1	132	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	28/36	61/72	84.7%		4	3	6	T	372
Aggregate Predictions	232/252	182/252	414/504	82.1%

User Info

	UlmerFudd Forum Profile
	UlmerFudd Gubernatorial Endorsements

Links

	Gubernatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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