Election 2018 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

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Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

		19 \|	36 \|
Dem	12
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	10

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Toss			Net Gain
	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot
Dem	+1	+3	+4	0	0	0	5	3	8	0	1	1	+4
Rep	+1	0	+1	-1	-3	-4	9	4	13	3	6	9	-3
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	0	0	0	-1

Polls Aggregate History

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
IA	D +0	46%	47%	3%	5%	2	1	0	0	R - I	Tossup
KS	Tie	42%	42%	10%	6%	1	1	0	1	R - O	Tossup
NV	Tie	46%	46%	0%	8%	2	1	0	0	R - O	Tossup
SD	Tie	47%	47%	1%	5%	1	2	0	0	R - O	Tossup
WI	D +2	47%	49%	1%	3%	2	0	0	1	R - I	Tossup
FL	D +3	46%	49%	0%	5%	2	1	0	0	R - O	Tossup
GA	R +3	49%	46%	2%	3%	1	2	0	0	R - O	Tossup
NH	R +3	48%	45%	1%	6%	0	2	0	1	R - I	Tossup
OH	D +3	45%	48%	5%	3%	2	0	0	1	R - O	Tossup
AK	R +4	48%	44%	4%	4%	0	3	0	0	I - I	Slight Rep
OR	D +4	40%	44%	3%	14%	3	0	0	0	D - I	Slight Dem
CT	D +5	39%	43%	9%	9%	2	1	0	0	D - O	Lean Dem
OK	R +5	48%	43%	0%	8%	0	3	0	0	R - O	Lean Rep

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
AK	R +4	48%	44%	4%	4%	0	3	0	0	I - I	Slight Rep
ME	D +8	41%	49%	5%	6%	3	0	0	0	R - O	Lean Dem
NM	D +9	44%	53%	0%	2%	3	0	0	0	R - O	Lean Dem
MI	D +10	41%	51%	2%	6%	3	0	0	0	R - O	Strong Dem
IL	D +17	32%	49%	9%	11%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Strong Dem

Most Recent State Polls

State	Date	Poll Source	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	M.O.E.	Sample	#C
MI	11-05	Mitchell Research	D +7	41%	48%	0%	11%	3%	827 L	0
FL	11-05	Trafalgar Group	R +3	50%	47%	1%	2%	3%	1,484 L	6
WY	11-04	Change Research	R +34	61%	27%	10%	2%	4%	858 L	13
SD	11-04	Change Research	D +6	45%	51%	2%	2%	4%	851 L
SD	11-04	Emerson College	R +1	48%	47%	0%	5%	5%	514 L	9
PA	11-04	Change Research	D +11	42%	53%	3%	2%	4%	1,833 L	13
OH	11-04	Change Research	D +5	43%	48%	6%	3%	4%	923 L	13
OH	11-04	Trafalgar Group	D +4	42%	46%	7%	5%	2%	1,948 L	9
NH	11-04	University of New Hampshire	Tie	46%	46%	2%	6%	4%	630 L	72
NV	11-04	Emerson College	D +1	47%	48%	0%	5%	3%	1,197 L	9
MN	11-04	Change Research	D +12	41%	53%	4%	2%	4%	953 L	3
MI	11-04	Change Research	D +8	43%	51%	5%	1%	4%	880 L	3
MI	11-04	Mitchell Research	D +14	40%	54%	0%	6%	4%	701 L	6
IA	11-04	Change Research	D +3	46%	49%	4%	1%	4%	961 L	3
ID	11-04	Change Research	R +16	55%	39%	5%	1%	4%	838 L	3
FL	11-04	St.PetePolls	D +4	45%	49%	0%	6%	2%	3,088 L	2
FL	11-04	Quinnipiac University	D +7	43%	50%	0%	7%	4%	1,142 L	15
CA	11-04	Change Research	D +12	41%	53%	0%	6%	4%	1,108 L
WI	11-03	Research Consultants	D +1	48%	49%	3%	0%	4%	411 L	1
PA	11-03	Research Consultants	D +15	42%	57%	1%	0%	4%	424 L	6
OK	11-03	SoonerPoll	R +3	47%	44%	0%	9%	5%	338 L	17
OH	11-03	Research Consultants	Tie	49%	49%	2%	0%	4%	405 L	1
NY	11-03	Research Consultants	D +19	39%	58%	3%	0%	4%	421 L	6
NM	11-03	Research Consultants	D +12	44%	56%	0%	0%	4%	423 L	1
MN	11-03	Research Consultants	D +7	46%	53%	1%	0%	4%	409 L	6
MI	11-03	Research Consultants	D +5	47%	52%	1%	0%	4%	410 L	6
IL	11-03	Victory Research	D +16	33%	49%	8%	10%	3%	1,208 L	5
GA	11-03	Trafalgar Group	R +12	52%	40%	4%	4%	2%	2,171 L	34
FL	11-03	Emerson College	D +5	46%	51%	0%	3%	4%	784 L	9
FL	11-03	Research Consultants	D +2	48%	50%	2%	0%	4%	429 L	1
CA	11-03	Research Consultants	D +20	40%	60%	0%	0%	4%	435 L	6
AZ	11-03	Emerson College	R +15	55%	40%	0%	5%	4%	758 L	9
AZ	11-03	Research Consultants	R +16	57%	41%	2%	0%	4%	428 L	1
IA	11-02	Selzer & Co	D +2	44%	46%	2%	8%	4%	801 L	38
GA	11-02	Other Source	D +4	46%	50%	1%	3%	4%	614 L	14
FL	11-02	St.PetePolls	D +2	46%	48%	0%	6%	2%	2,733 L	2
FL	11-02	Gravis Marketing	D +1	46%	47%	0%	7%	4%	753 L	4
FL	11-02	Marist College	D +4	46%	50%	0%	4%	5%	595 L	2
CA	11-02	Survey USA	D +15	38%	53%	0%	9%	5%	924 L	5
AZ	11-02	Gravis Marketing	R +13	53%	40%	0%	7%	3%	1,165 L
VT	11-01	Gravis Marketing	R +10	49%	39%	0%	12%	3%	885 L	9
PA	11-01	Muhlenberg College	D +20	36%	56%	4%	3%	5%	421 L	12
NY	11-01	Siena Research Institute	D +13	36%	49%	0%	15%	4%	641 L	11
NM	11-01	Research & Polling Inc	D +10	43%	53%	0%	4%	3%	993 L	13
NV	11-01	Trafalgar Group	R +2	47%	45%	0%	8%	2%	2,587 L	13
IA	11-01	Emerson College	R +4	49%	45%	2%	5%	3%	1,462 L	20
CT	11-01	Gravis Marketing	D +9	37%	46%	9%	8%	4%	681 L	9
WI	10-31	Emerson College	D +5	46%	51%	0%	3%	4%	604 L	25
TN	10-31	Targoz Strategic Marketing	R +9	53%	44%	0%	3%	5%	480 L
SD	10-31	Mason-Dixon	R +3	47%	44%	0%	9%	5%	500 R	16

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