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PredictionsEndorse2018 Gubernatorial Predictions - Gabor (D-AR) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2018-07-16 Version:2

Prediction Map
Gabor MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Gabor MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep21
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem13
 
pie
Rep16
 
Ind0
 
Tos7
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+3+3+6000549+6
Rep+10+1-3-3-6101020-5
Ind000-10-1000-1


Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: patd25 (D-BC) 2018-07-16 @ 13:39:27 prediction Map
Interesting that WI is at Lean D, but MI is predicted to be a republican hold and currently a tossup. Any particular reason why?
 By: deleteduser (I-WV) 2018-07-16 @ 14:10:36 prediction Map
Yes patd25 that is interesting indeed. Maybe the because the most recent Morning Consult polls had Trump with a higher approval rating in MI than in WI right now. Still...

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2018 Senate 34/35 19/35 53/70 75.7% pie 4 2 132T483
P 2018 Governor 33/36 20/36 53/72 73.6% pie 3 15 164T372
Aggregate Predictions 67/71 39/71 106/142 74.6% pie



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