PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Election Polls - NH ResultsPolls
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Source: University of New Hampshire (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DClintonDemocratic48%piePoll Date: 2016-11-06
RTrumpRepublican38%Number Polled: 707
IMcMullinIndependent0%Margin of Error: 4%
-Other-6%Voter Type: Likely
-Undecided-9%

Clinton by ten

 By: Ryne (R-WA) on 2016-11-06 @ 23:24:20

Question:
“Thinking about the presidential election will you vote for Donald Trump, the Republican ... Hillary Clinton, the Democrat... Gary Johnson, the Libertarian... Jill Stein of the Green Party... some other candidate .... or will you skip this election?” ROTATE CANDIDATES
Trump 38%
Clinton 48%
Johnson 5%
Stein 1%
Other 2%
Undecided 7%

About this Poll
These findings are based on the latest Granite State Poll, conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center. Seven hundred and seven (707) randomly selected New Hampshire likely voters were interviewed by landline and cellular telephone between November 3 and November 6, 2016. If a household included more than one adult, the adult who had the most recent birthday was selected to be interviewed.

The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/‐ 3.7 percent. These MSE’s have not been adjusted for design effect. The design effect for the survey is 1.1%.

The random sample used in the Granite State Poll was purchased from Marketing Systems Group (MSG), Horsham, PA. MSG screens each selected telephone number to eliminate non‐working numbers, disconnected numbers, and business numbers to improve the efficiency of the sample, reducing the amount of time interviewers spend calling non‐usable numbers.

The data have been weighted to adjust for numbers of adults and telephone lines within households. Additionally, data were weighted by respondent sex, age, and region of the state to targets from the most recent American Community Survey (ACS) conducted by the U.S. Census Bureau. In addition to potential sampling error, all surveys have other potential sources of non‐ sampling error including question order effects, question wording effects, and non‐response. Due to rounding, percentages may not sum to 100%. The number of respondents in each demographic below may not equal the number reported in cross‐ tabulation tables as some respondents choose not to answer some questions.

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