Election 2024 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2024-05-21 Version:4

Prediction Map

slick67 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

slick67 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	15
Ind	2
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	13
Ind	2
Tos	6
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-2	-2	-4	13	3	16	-3
Rep	+2	+2	+4	0	0	0	9	2	11	+4
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	2	0	2	-1

Predicted Senate Control (119th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	17	0	17
Republican	15	0	15
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						260
2023 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	26	1	T	115
2022 Senate	31/35	25/35	56/70	80.0%		15	0	147	T	305
2022 Governor	31/36	21/36	52/72	72.2%		21	1	216	T	272
2021 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	11	1	T	118
2020 President	48/56	41/56	89/112	79.5%		5	9	434	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	23/35	53/70	75.7%		3	7	137	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		2	41	10	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	8	130	T	192
2018 Senate	31/35	18/35	49/70	70.0%		6	5	272	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	20/36	51/72	70.8%		4	7	205	T	372
2017 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	2	98	T	149
2016 President	50/56	36/56	86/112	76.8%		21	1	48	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	18/34	50/68	73.5%		9	1	89	T	362
2016 Governor	10/12	6/12	16/24	66.7%		7	4	25	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	0/3	2/6	33.3%		2	12	72	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	23/36	58/72	80.6%		21	1	60	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%		25	1	97	T	300
2013 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	195	98	T	153
2012 President	48/56	29/56	77/112	68.8%		30	14	699	T	760
2012 Senate	26/33	9/33	35/66	53.0%		8	1	307	T	343
2012 Governor	8/11	5/11	13/22	59.1%		3	14	179	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	45/52	24/52	69/104	66.3%		41	-	8	T	231
2010 Senate	32/37	13/37	45/74	60.8%		1	206	306	T	456
2010 Governor	23/37	10/37	33/74	44.6%		1	206	281	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	563/659	353/659	916/1318	69.5%

User Info

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Links

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