My gut feelings...<br /> <br /> ARIZONA: A state with a growing Latino population, but one where I am still not ready to concede to Democrats. Sinema might be a bit too liberal for the state. McSally wins a squeaker.<br /> <br /> FLORIDA: Rick Scott is not a strong Senate candidate, in spite of his 8 years a governor. Nelson hangs on.<br /> <br /> INDIANA: A Republican leaning state, on in which Trump did quite well. Tossup goes Republican.<br /> <br /> MISSOURI: Another state where Trump's popularity is fairly high, McCaskill loses in a close race.<br /> <br /> MONTANA: A Trump-favorable state, but seasoned veteran Tester is moderate enough to triumph again.<br /> <br /> NEVADA: I think is lost to Heller, demographics in the state just do not favor Republicans anymore.<br /> <br /> NORTH DAKOTA: Heitkamp is a goner in a rural, Trump-favorable state. Her vote against Kavanaugh sealed her fate.<br /> <br /> TENNESSEE: A strongly Republican state in modern times. Voters do not wish to turn back the clock with Bredesen. GOP hold.<br /> <br /> TEXAS: A surprisingly competitive (and vicious) Senate race. Texas' traditional conservatism prevails for Cruz.<br /> <br /> WEST VIRGINIA: Manchin wins reelection in the strongly pro-Trump state, in part due to his vote in favor of Kavanaugh and his unique stance as perhaps the only conservative Democrat left in Congress.