Election 2018 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-15 Version:1

Prediction Map

Ben Kenobi Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Ben Kenobi Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	17
Ind	2
Non	15

Confidence States Won

		17 \|	35 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	10
Ind	1
Tos	8
Non	15

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-8	0	-8	16	0	16	-8
Rep	+8	0	+8	0	0	0	6	3	9	+8
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0

Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	23	39
Republican	17	42	59
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 70)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
47	29	18

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						250
2022 Senate	30/35	21/35	51/70	72.9%		1	0	255	T	305
2022 Governor	29/36	19/36	48/72	66.7%		1	16	248	T	272
2020 President	49/56	28/56	77/112	68.8%		1	58	651	T	684
2020 Senate	27/35	11/35	38/70	54.3%		1	56	417		423
2018 Senate	29/35	18/35	47/70	67.1%		1	22	334	T	483
2016 President	36/56	6/56	42/112	37.5%		5	142	669		678
2014 Senate	33/36	8/36	41/72	56.9%		1	0	322	T	382
2012 President	42/56	24/56	66/112	58.9%		1	85	740		760
Aggregate Predictions	275/345	135/345	410/690	59.4%

User Info

Ben Kenobi Forum Profile

Links

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