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Date of Prediction: 2018-10-14 Version:20
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (116th Congress):
Analysis
Still not convinced that the shifts seen during the Kavanaugh confirmation fight will stick generally, but the shift in Tennessee has been enough that I feel I should at least switch it to Republican. A few other percentage and confidence adjustments as well, reflecting what looks like a more uncertain environment for the time being.
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