Election 2016 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-07-27 Version:1

Prediction Map

Jabbawind1 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Jabbawind1 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	21
Rep	13
Ind	0
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	20
Rep	13
Ind	0
Tos	1
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+9	+2	+11	0	0	0	7	3	10	+11
Rep	0	0	0	-9	-2	-11	13	0	13	-11
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predicted Senate Control (115th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	21	34	55
Republican	13	30	43
Independent	0	2	2

pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 68)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
38	25	13

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2018 Senate	32/35	7/35	39/70	55.7%		1	29	450	T	483
2016 President	41/56	23/56	64/112	57.1%		2	353	628	T	678
2016 Senate	25/34	13/34	38/68	55.9%		1	470	352	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	3/12	10/24	41.7%		1	470	254	T	279
2015 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		1	218	72	T	112
2014 Senate	31/36	14/36	45/72	62.5%		4	30	282	T	382
2014 Governor	26/36	5/36	31/72	43.1%		3	30	293	T	300
Aggregate Predictions	163/212	66/212	229/424	54.0%

Links

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