Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:2
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (114th Congress):
Prediction Score (max Score = 72)
Analysis
Changed Iowa to a GOP gain, from DEM hold...polls seem to show the Republican with the momentum. Other than that, all other seats stay the same as before.
Prediction History
Comments History
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Version: 1 NC, GA, and LA are tossups, but i see the GOP winning here mostly due to the Republican tendencies of these states.<br /> IA stays Democratic as the Republicans have tended to lose close races in Iowa.<br /> CO and KS are two states that are much more difficult to predict, imho. I think the strong conservative tendencies in Kansas may ultimately carry the day for Roberts, plus the general strength for Republicans during this election cycle. CO may go GOP as well just due to Democratic weaknesses this year.<br /> <br /> KY and SD, both will be close races, but I rank them as "leans" as recent polling points to GOP leads. AR I believe is trending more strongly GOP even though the race may still be a bit close. AK goes Republican as this has typically been a tough state for the Dems.<br /> MI and NH stay Democratic, as then are states with much stronger Democratic bases.<br /> <br /> MT and WV are lock GOP pickups.
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