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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:5
Prediction Map * = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Predicted Senate Control (113th Congress):
Analysis
Final Prediction - This might be a touch optimistic for the Dems (especially in NV + MT), but even so the balance of the Senate won't shift very much which is a big win for the Dems given they're defending more than twice as many seats as the GOP. The implosions of GOP candidates in MO and IN (and to a lesser extent, FL and MI) really gimped their chances of a takeover. They'll hold the House though.
Prediction History
Comments History
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