PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - CultureKing (D-WA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-03 Version:9

Prediction Map
CultureKing MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
CultureKing MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem22
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem20
 
pie
Rep8
 
Ind2
 
Tos3
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+60+60-1-114216+5
Rep000-60-6819-6
Ind0+1+1000011+1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic222749
Republican94049
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
603327
piepiepie

Comments

This will probably be my final prediction before the election, I might change tenneessee or Virginia, though Missouri has always been a tossup so I am keeping it the way it has always been.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 5

moved Florida to strong dem, and Virginia to Lean Republican


Version: 4

moved Arizona to lean republican from strong republican, the rave there seems to be heating up. In Ohio I wanted to but just couldn't change it from democrat to Republican as I am feeling that it will no more be a democrat win... but I still cant touch it, due to my strong hope that it will go with the Democrats in a big wave.


Version: 2

I havent really changed all that much on this map versus the last... but oh well, in reference to some of my decisions about really close contests:
Missouri: I just can't see this as going to the republicans, this is the state where a dead democrat beat a very alive John Ashcroft.
Rhode Island: In such a democratic leaning state, I believe that the dems will be able to easily gain ground here.
Minnesota: Same as Rhode Island, except here the dems are not quite as powerful.


Version: 1

With such a large lead in so many polls out today I believe that the dems have a good chance at winning in many states that at the moment have republicans edging out dems, also I think that momentum will keep the dems getting better in the polls barring some kind of large event that would change American's minds.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2009 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 0 56T103
P 2008 President 52/56 47/56 99/112 88.4% pie 7 1 26T1,505
P 2008 Senate 32/33 21/33 53/66 80.3% pie 2 1 57T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 2 1 9T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 41/52 20/52 61/104 58.7% pie 20 - 38T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 23/49 64/98 65.3% pie 18 - 3T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 3 6 58T167
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 27/33 60/66 90.9% pie 9 4 3T465
P 2006 Governor 35/36 20/36 55/72 76.4% pie 3 4 71T312
Aggregate Predictions 249/275 170/275 419/550 76.2% pie


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