PredictionsEndorse2006 Senatorial Predictions - cm04g (I-FL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2006-11-02 Version:5

Prediction Map
cm04g MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
cm04g MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem21
 
pie
Rep10
 
Ind2
 
Non17
 

Confidence States Won
25 |
33 |
50 |
Dem16
 
pie
Rep9
 
Ind2
 
Tos6
 
Non17
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+50+50-1-114216+4
Rep000-50-59110-5
Ind0+1+1000011+1


Predicted Senate Control (110th Congress):
Party Seats Up Seats Not Up Total Seats
Democratic212748
Republican104050
Independent202
pie

Prediction Score (max Score = 66)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
503218
piepiepie

Comments

The national mood and the intensity against Bush is too strong for Chafee in liberal RI. It's not Chafee's fault. Like I said before Chafee is the senator that I admired the most for his stance on the issues and his courage.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 4

I thought the moderate DeWine would win but the scandal in Ohio has taken a big toll on the senator I switched it to Brown.


Version: 1

Currently,I believe that the GOP will hold control of the senate given Ohio, Tennesse and Rhode Island are uphill battles for the democrats.In Rhode Island the liberal Chaffey if he wins the primary will appeal to some moderate dems and independent.He is not a rubber stamp for Bush.In tennesse, the geographical position put Tennessee on high ground for dems since Al Gore(home state) lost it six years ago. In ohio Brown is not a strong candidate to take on the somewhat moderate De Wine.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 5 5 156T465
P 2006 Governor 34/36 8/36 42/72 58.3% pie 3 76 244T312
Aggregate Predictions 66/69 26/69 92/138 66.7% pie


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