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Source: Siena Research Institute (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
DKatie McGintyDemocratic47%piePoll Date: 2016-10-25
RPat Toomey*Republican44%Number Polled: 824
-Other-0%Margin of Error: 3%
-Undecided-7%Voter Type: Likely

  * = Incumbent

McGinty with Slight Lead in Pennsylvania

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2016-10-27 @ 19:36:39

Question:
If the 2016 election for United States Senator from Pennsylvania was being held today among the following candidates, who would you vote for: [CHOICES ROTATED]

About this Poll
This New York Times Upshot/Siena College survey was conducted October 23-25, 2016 by telephone calls to 824 likely voters. Calls were made to a stratified weighted sample of voters from the L-2 Voter list via both land and cell phones. A likely-to-vote probability was computed for each respondent based on both their stated likelihood to vote as well as by virtue of the imputation of a turnout probability score based on past voting behavior applied to their specific voting history. This probability to vote was applied as a weight along with a weight that considered party registration, age, region, gender and race. This poll has a margin of error of + 3.4 percentage points. The Siena College Research Institute, directed by Donald Levy, Ph.D., conducts political, economic, social and cultural research primarily in NYS. SRI, an independent, non-partisan research institute, subscribes to the American Association of Public Opinion Research Code of Professional Ethics and Practices.

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