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Source: Montana State University (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
RSteve DainesRepublican47%piePoll Date: 2014-10-11
DAmanda Curtis^Democratic31%Number Polled: 410
-Other-2%Margin of Error: 5%
-Undecided-21%Voter Type: Likely

  ^ = Incumbent Party (Current Senator Retiring)

Daines with Significant Lead in Montana

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2014-10-17 @ 15:12:33

Question:
if this year’s election for one of Montana’s U.S. Senate seats were being held today, whom do you think you would vote for?”

About this Poll
This report summarizes the results of a statewide random sample telephone survey of 410 adult Montanans who said they were both registered and likely to vote. 54% of the respondents planned on voting absentee, 41.6% at the polls and 4.4% were undecided.

The poll was conducted October 6th-11th, 2014. Students enrolled in the course Political Science 342, Media, Public Opinion, Polling and some additional students doing an independent polling project completed interviews for this survey. Some surveyors from the CATI lab also participated. The poll was completed using random digit dial methodology, which selects both the phone numbers and members of a household to interview. The poll was conducted using MSU-Billings’ CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing) software. Multiple attempts were made to reach selected households. The survey results have a +/- 5% margin of error at a confidence level of 95% (95% of the time the results will fall within the +/- 5% margin of error). Factors such as question order and wording can affect survey results. Statistical tests were employed to determine whether statistically significant relationships (p=.05) existed between key variables.

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