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PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Republican Primary Polls - NH ResultsPolls
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New Hampshire Polls (Aggregate = Strong Trump for 3-poll average)

Candidate Avg. #Wins Delegates Poll Graph Election Details
Trump 31% 3 9pie
Election Date: 2016-02-09
Election Type: Primary
Eligable Voters: Modified Open
Delegates Total: 23
Delegates Awarded: 20
Apportion Method: P10%
Rubio 16% 0 4
Kasich 14% 0 4
Cruz 12% 0 3
Bush 8% 0 0
Christie 6% 0 0
Other 6% 0 0
-Undecided 7% 0 0

 Three-Poll Rolling Average
 Rolling Average Poll Graph

 Delegates Awarded Prior to this Contest: 0 (0.0%)

 Projected Delegate Allocation Prior to this Contest:
Prior Delegate Allocation Graph

DatePoll SourceLeadKB R C T C W OthUnd MOE Sample#C
02-08Overtime PoliticsT+1114%8%18%11%29%5%0%0%5%5%401 L
02-08University of New HampshireT+1410%7%17%14%31%3%0%0%9%5%362 L21
02-08ARGT+1617%9%14%10%33%1%0%0%6%5%418 L
02-07Gravis MarketingT+1117%14%15%11%28%0%0%0%2%4%705 L7
02-07Emerson CollegeT+1513%16%12%11%31%3%0%0%1%4%686 L45
02-06UMass LowellT+229%10%14%13%36%3%0%0%7%5%516 L107
02-06Monmouth UniversityT+1614%13%13%12%30%4%0%0%3%4%508 L25
02-06Franklin PierceT+1511%10%15%16%31%3%0%0%3%5%433 L30
02-06University of New HampshireT+1711%7%16%14%33%2%0%0%9%5%362 L
02-06ARGT+1417%9%17%9%31%1%0%0%8%5%422 L75
02-05ARGT+1717%8%16%9%34%2%0%0%6%5%415 L75
02-04UMass LowellT+197%8%15%14%34%4%0%5%6%5%462 L107
02-04Gravis MarketingT+1013%8%19%15%29%4%0%0%1%3%871 L6
02-04University of New HampshireT+1112%10%18%13%29%2%0%0%8%7%209 L
02-04Suffolk UniversityT+1013%10%19%7%29%4%0%0%12%4%500 L42
02-03UMass LowellT+217%8%15%14%36%4%0%3%6%5%487 L107
02-03UMass PollT+1910%6%14%9%33%3%0%0%17%7%390 L3
02-03Marist CollegeT+1310%9%17%15%30%4%0%0%9%4%653 L3
02-03ARGT+2013%8%14%12%34%2%0%0%7%5%418 L
02-02UMass LowellT+247%9%12%14%38%3%0%6%4%5%461 L107
02-02Harper PollingT+1712%14%10%9%31%3%0%1%8%5%425 L
02-01UMass LowellT+249%9%10%14%38%3%0%2%6%5%470 L107
02-01University of New HampshireT+1710%9%11%12%29%2%0%8%9%5%362 L
01-31UMass LowellT+269%9%8%12%38%3%0%4%8%5%461 L107
01-31ARGT+1816%9%11%10%34%2%0%0%6%4%600 L8
01-30Franklin PierceT+258%10%10%13%38%3%0%8%2%5%439 L
01-30University of New HampshireT+189%6%11%12%30%3%0%10%10%5%409 L
01-27Other SourceT+1212%11%15%13%27%3%0%1%6%4%583 L
01-26Emerson CollegeT+1714%18%9%8%35%0%0%0%11%5%373 L22
01-25ARGT+1417%8%9%12%31%2%0%0%6%4%600 L17
01-24Franklin PierceT+1912%9%8%14%33%4%0%0%13%5%444 L7
01-23Marist CollegeT+1911%8%11%12%31%5%0%6%5%4%612 L26
01-21YouGovT+1810%7%14%16%34%5%0%4%0%7%1,040 L70
01-21Suffolk UniversityT+1512%11%10%12%27%5%0%0%12%5%500 L20
01-21Fox NewsT+179%7%13%14%31%5%0%7%5%5%401 L51
01-18Gravis MarketingT+2015%7%9%10%35%1%0%2%6%4%689 L24
01-18University of New HampshireT+206%10%10%14%34%3%0%11%6%5%413 L22
01-18ARGT+620%8%10%9%26%2%0%0%7%4%600 L38
01-16Mason-DixonT+1813%9%14%8%32%2%0%5%4%5%503 L
01-12Overtime PoliticsT+1515%6%13%9%30%4%0%2%6%5%392 L
01-10Monmouth UniversityT+1814%4%12%14%32%3%0%4%3%5%414 L12
01-10ARGT+1114%8%14%9%25%2%0%6%8%4%600 L31
01-08Other SourceT+2012%12%10%10%32%4%0%7%1%4%416 L
01-07Fox NewsT+187%9%15%12%33%4%0%9%4%5%414 L47
01-07Marist CollegeT+169%9%14%10%30%4%0%10%5%4%569 L27
01-06Public Policy PollingT+1411%10%15%10%29%4%0%8%2%4%515 L44
12-22Other SourceT+167%6%12%13%29%3%0%14%9%4%500 L
12-22ARGT+613%7%15%10%21%6%0%10%5%4%600 L21
12-18Overtime PoliticsT+80%9%14%16%24%0%0%26%11%4%500 L8
12-17YouGovT+188%6%13%14%32%5%0%14%0%6%1,091 L
12-17Franklin PierceT+148%10%12%12%26%5%0%12%7%4%430 L13
12-08MassIncT+157%8%11%10%27%6%0%15%9%5%402 L30
12-08Other SourceT+16%8%18%11%19%9%0%14%9%4%525 L
12-07University of New HampshireT+187%8%14%6%32%5%0%12%9%5%402 L1
12-02Public Policy PollingT+148%5%11%13%27%9%0%17%2%5%454 L32
11-19YouGovT+198%6%13%10%32%10%0%12%1%4%624 L
11-19Suffolk UniversityT+119%8%11%9%22%10%0%4%18%4%500 L
11-17Fox NewsT+147%9%13%11%27%9%0%10%7%5%353 L
11-15MassIncT+107%7%13%8%23%13%0%16%6%5%405 L
11-11Gravis MarketingT+175%8%10%12%29%7%0%15%9%5%330 L11
11-01MassIncT+210%7%11%6%18%16%0%9%13%5%400 L
11-01Monmouth UniversityT+1011%7%13%9%26%16%0%3%4%5%410 L
10-22YouGovT+265%8%7%5%38%12%0%12%8%5%496 L
10-18Purple StrategiesT+77%10%8%4%24%17%0%14%9%5%400 L
10-18Public Policy PollingT+1610%9%12%8%28%11%0%9%3%5%417 L
10-17Franklin PierceT+126%9%6%5%28%16%0%17%7%5%440 L
10-06Gravis MarketingT+1910%8%8%5%32%13%0%4%10%4%662 L
09-30Marist CollegeT+56%11%10%6%21%10%0%24%6%5%450 L
09-23CNN/ORCT+107%7%9%5%26%8%0%20%11%5%334 P
09-14MassIncT+49%9%2%5%22%18%1%11%14%5%404 L13
09-13Monmouth UniversityT+1111%7%4%8%28%17%2%5%7%5%415 L9
09-10YouGovT+289%6%2%5%40%12%3%8%6%5%472 L39
09-02Marist CollegeT+1612%8%3%5%28%11%4%9%8%5%413 R13
08-24Public Policy PollingT+2411%7%4%4%35%6%7%11%4%5%436 L28
08-03Gravis MarketingT+1715%7%3%3%32%8%8%9%0%4%599 L15
07-30University of New HampshireT+126%12%3%5%24%5%11%16%12%6%308 L4
07-26Monmouth UniversityT+127%12%6%3%24%5%7%15%14%5%467 L13
07-21Marist CollegeT+77%14%5%5%21%6%12%10%13%5%401 L18
06-22Suffolk UniversityB+32%14%7%4%11%6%8%17%29%4%500 L
06-04Gravis MarketingB+80%21%9%4%12%5%13%27%9%4%487 L
05-03University of New HampshireB+31%15%12%6%5%4%11%31%14%6%293 L17
04-22Gravis MarketingB+20%18%11%10%0%4%16%26%15%4%666 L
04-13Public Policy PollingW+100%10%0%14%0%7%24%38%7%5%358 L
04-09Other SourceW+60%17%7%9%8%7%23%29%0%3%1,064 L
03-19Gravis MarketingW+10%18%7%6%0%6%19%28%16%4%683 L
02-03University of New HampshireB+51%17%5%4%2%8%12%35%15%5%348 L7


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