PredictionsMock2016 Presidential Republican Primary - MI ResultsPolls
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Source: Trafalgar Group (url)

CandidatePolitical PartyPollGraphPoll Details
TrumpRepublican42%pie
Poll Date: 2016-03-03
Number Polled: 1,643
Margin of Error: 2%
Voter Type: Likely
CruzRepublican20%
KasichRepublican18%
RubioRepublican14%
OtherRepublican0%
-UndecidedRepublican6%

Trump with Solid Lead in Michigan

 By: leip (I-NY) on 2016-03-04 @ 21:56:42

Question:
If the election were held today, for whom would you vote?

About this Poll
Likely Republican presidential primary voters were selected at random from a list of registered voters based on party participation and registration date. Household ages and locations were extracted as well from this list. In excess of 55,000 households were called over the duration of the poll. Each household participant was asked to opt-in to the survey if they planned to vote in the 2016 Michigan Republican Presidential Primary.

Using automated voice response technology allows each participant to hear the questions exactly the same way, from the same voice, spoken with the same tone and nuance. Calls are placed to randomly-selected phone numbers through a stratified process that insures approrpiate geographic representation. These calls were placed from 6:00pm to 8:30pm local time from Wednesday, March 2nd though Thursday, March 3rd.

Survey results undergo a weighting process to ensure the sample is comparable to the demographic breakdown of 2012 Michigan Republican Presidential Primary participants. Final results are based on these weights in order to address non-response bias.

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