Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Source: Public Policy Polling (url)
Obama Leads Romney by 6% By: Inks.LWC (R-MI) on 2012-04-18 @ 18:00:26 Question: If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for? Barack Obama Mitt Romney Not sure All 50 44 6 Women 53 41 6 Men 46 49 5 McCain Voters 11 85 4 Obama Voters 85 10 5 Didn't vote in that election 26 55 19 Democrat 91 7 1 Republican 5 91 3 Independent/Other 53 36 11 Liberal 92 6 2 Moderate 66 28 6 Conservative 12 81 7 White 48 46 6 Other 69 28 4 18 to 29 49 43 8 30 to 45 48 49 3 46 to 65 53 41 7 Older than 65 46 48 6 Poll Demographics Women 613 54 Men 522 46 McCain Voters 465 41 Obama Voters 568 50 Didn't vote in that election 102 9 Democrat 352 31 Republican 363 32 Independent/Other 420 37 Liberal 204 18 Moderate 488 43 Conservative 431 38 White 1045 92 Other 90 8 18 to 29 113 10 30 to 45 295 26 46 to 65 499 44 Older than 65 227 20 About this Poll Public Policy Polling, 1136 likely voters, MoE ±2.9%, April 13, 2012 - April 15, 2012. The Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation Poll is conducted each week (excluding those with major holidays) by Public Policy Polling ("PPP"). Respondents are chosen randomly from a nationwide voter file provided by Aristotle, Inc. Calls are typically made between Thursday and Sunday of each week, and at least five attempts are made to reach each potential respondent over the course of those four days. Respondents are interviewed through an automated telephone survey with the exception of those in Indiana and North Dakota, who are contacted via live telephone interviews because of restrictions on automated telephone calls in those states. Typically, poll respondents represent a greater proportion of whites, older people, and women than found in the American public as a whole. Because of this, PPP weights its polls for race, age, and gender to ensure its surveys properly represent the population. (Note: PPP does not weight for party identification.) Based on a combination of census numbers, voter participation in past elections, and poll response, PPP develops target ranges for the share of poll respondents that should fall into each of these categories. After contacting a sufficient number of respondents, PPP uses a random deletion process to achieve an appropriate gender and race balance, which generally involves removing excess cases of white and female voters. PPP then uses a statistical formula to adjust for age imbalances, which creates the final results. Even though the final results are weighted, the number of respondents by gender, race, and age is not necessarily identical every week. Using a statistical formula to weight the results can result in a round number of respondents in each demographic category because the Daily Kos/SEIU State of the Nation Poll generally has a base of 1,000 respondents. However, an examination of the raw data (which is also provided each week) demonstrates that this pattern does not exist at the individual respondent level, but rather is merely a by-product of weighting. In addition to the raw data used to generate the final results, Daily Kos and SEIU also make available the raw data discarded via the random deletion process described above. The discarded data is not used in calculating final poll results and is provided only for the purposes of transparency. Login to Post Comments Forum Thread for this Poll |
Back to 2012 Presidential Polls Home - Polls Home
© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved