Question:
Voters will be asked two separate questions in the recall election. The first will ask if Newsom should or should not be recalled. A “yes” vote means you want to REMOVE Newsom as governor, and a “no” vote means you want Newsom to REMAIN governor. If you were filling out your ballot right now, would you vote yes, to remove Gavin Newsom from office? Or would you vote no, to keep Gavin Newsom in office?

About this Poll
This survey of 500 registered California voters was conducted between September 6 and September 7, 2021 and is based on live telephone interviews of adults who indicated that they plan to vote in the September 14, 2021 gubernatorial recall election. Each area’s quota and demographic information -- including race and age -- was determined from the 2003 California recall election as well as current American Community Survey Census data. Samples of both standard landlines and cell phones were called using a probability-proportionate-to-size method, which means that the phone numbers assigned to each county were proportional to the number of likely voters expected based on similar past elections. The 57 California counties were grouped into five general regions. Respondents in the household were selected by initially asking for the youngest adult. The margin of sampling error for results based on the total sample is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Error margins increase for smaller subgroups in the cross-tabulation document that follows. All surveys may be subject to other sources of error, including but not limited to coverage error and measurement error.