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Source: Monmouth University (url)
^ = Incumbent Party (Current Governor Retiring) Murphy +14 By: IndyRep (R-MT) on 2017-11-01 @ 17:03:50 Question: 1/2. If the election for governor was today, would you vote for … Kim Guadagno the Republican, Phil Murphy the Democrat, or some other candidate? [ If UNDECIDED: If you had to vote for one of the following at this moment, do you lean more toward Kim Guadagno or more toward Phil Murphy?] [ NAMES WERE ROTATED ] 39% Kim Guadagno, the Republican 53% Phil Murphy, the Democrat 2% Other candidate 7% (VOL) Undecided About this Poll The Monmouth University Poll was sponsored and conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute from October 27 to 31, 2017 with a statewide random sample of 529 likely New Jersey voters drawn from a list of registered voters who voted in at least two of the last four general elections or have registered to vote since January 2016, and indicate they are likely to vote in the upcoming election. This includes 296 contacted by a live interviewer on a landline telephone and 233 contacted by a live interviewer on a cell phone. Monmouth is responsible for all aspects of the survey design, data weighting and analysis. Final sample is weighted for region, party registration, age, gender, and race based on state voter registration list and U.S. Census information. Data collection support provided by Braun Research (field) and Aristotle (voter sample). For results based on this sample, one can say with 95% confidence that the error attributable to sampling has a maximum margin of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points (unadjusted for sample design). Sampling error can be larger for sub-groups (see table below). In addition to sampling error, one should bear in mind that question wording and practical difficulties in conducting surveys can introduce error or bias into the findings of opinion polls. Login to Post Comments Forum Thread for this Poll |
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