Election 2014 Polls - Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Presidential Elections

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Compilation: Average of the most recent three polls. Slight requires that the same candidate wins all three.

		19 \|	36 \|
Dem	12
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	6

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Toss			Net Gain
	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot	Inc	Opn	Tot
Dem	+2	0	+2	0	-2	-2	8	2	10	2	0	2	0
Rep	0	+2	+2	-2	0	-2	13	3	16	4	0	4	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Polls Aggregate History

Closest States - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
CO	R +1	46%	45%	4%	5%	0	1	0	2	D - I	Tossup
ME	D +1	40%	41%	10%	8%	2	0	0	1	R - I	Tossup
MI	R +1	46%	45%	4%	6%	0	2	0	1	R - I	Tossup
AK	I +2	43%	0%	45%	12%	0	1	2	0	R - I	Tossup
CT	D +2	43%	45%	5%	6%	3	0	0	0	D - I	Slight Dem
FL	D +3	41%	44%	7%	8%	2	0	0	1	R - I	Tossup
IL	D +3	44%	47%	4%	5%	3	0	0	0	D - I	Slight Dem
WI	R +3	48%	45%	0%	6%	0	3	0	0	R - I	Slight Rep
GA	R +4	48%	44%	4%	4%	0	3	0	0	R - I	Slight Rep
KS	D +4	44%	47%	4%	4%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Slight Dem
MA	R +5	45%	40%	6%	8%	0	3	0	0	D - O	Lean Rep

Predicted Pick-ups - Average of Three Most Recent Polls

State	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	WinD	WinR	WinI	Ties	Inc	Status
KS	D +4	44%	47%	4%	4%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Slight Dem
MA	R +5	45%	40%	6%	8%	0	3	0	0	D - O	Lean Rep
AR	R +9	50%	41%	2%	6%	0	3	0	0	D - O	Lean Rep
PA	D +10	41%	50%	0%	9%	3	0	0	0	R - I	Strong Dem

Most Recent State Polls

State	Date	Poll Source	Spread	Rep	Dem	Ind	Und	M.O.E.	Sample	#C
NH	11-03	Public Policy Polling	D +6	45%	51%	0%	4%	3%	1,690 L
KS	11-03	Public Policy Polling	D +1	45%	46%	4%	4%	3%	963 L
IA	11-03	Public Policy Polling	R +11	51%	40%	5%	5%	3%	1,265 L
GA	11-03	Public Policy Polling	R +4	47%	43%	4%	6%	3%	975 L
NM	11-02	Survey USA	R +18	56%	38%	0%	6%	4%	548 L	14
NH	11-02	University of New Hampshire	D +4	43%	47%	1%	9%	4%	757 L	6
MI	11-02	Mitchell Research	Tie	47%	47%	4%	3%	3%	1,224 L	14
MI	11-02	Public Policy Polling	R +1	46%	45%	4%	5%	3%	914 L	18
ME	11-02	Maine People's Research Center	D +1	44%	45%	9%	2%	3%	906 L	27
IA	11-02	Quinnipiac University	R +11	52%	41%	2%	6%	4%	778 L	0
IL	11-02	Public Policy Polling	D +2	45%	47%	3%	5%	3%	1,064 L	23
GA	11-02	Landmark Communications	R +6	51%	45%	3%	1%	2%	1,500 L	1
GA	11-02	Insider Advantage	R +3	47%	44%	5%	4%	3%	1,463 L
GA	11-02	Survey USA	R +5	47%	42%	5%	5%	4%	591 L	1
FL	11-02	Public Policy Polling	Tie	44%	44%	6%	6%	3%	1,198 L	29
FL	11-02	Quinnipiac University	D +1	41%	42%	7%	9%	3%	817 L	9
CT	11-02	Quinnipiac University	D +1	42%	43%	8%	6%	3%	926 L	4
CO	11-02	Public Policy Polling	Tie	46%	46%	5%	3%	3%	739 L	11
CO	11-02	Quinnipiac University	R +2	45%	43%	7%	6%	3%	815 L	6
AK	11-02	Public Policy Polling	I +1	45%	0%	46%	9%	3%	1,052 L	14
NH	11-01	New England College	D +7	44%	51%	2%	3%	3%	1,526 L	3
MA	11-01	Public Policy Polling	R +4	46%	42%	7%	6%	3%	887 L	25
ID	11-01	Public Policy Polling	R +12	49%	37%	10%	5%	3%	1,001 L	13
CT	11-01	Public Policy Polling	D +3	41%	44%	6%	8%	3%	931 L	32
OH	10-31	Columbus Dispatch	R +28	62%	34%	1%	3%	3%	1,009 L	17
KS	10-31	Public Policy Polling	D +4	44%	48%	5%	3%	4%	752 L	7
IA	10-31	Selzer & Co	R +24	59%	35%	2%	4%	4%	701 L	5
FL	10-31	Zogby	D +7	38%	45%	8%	9%	4%	688 L	19
CA	10-31	Zogby	D +18	33%	51%	0%	16%	4%	705 L	0
OH	10-30	Fox News	R +15	51%	36%	3%	10%	3%	803 L	22
NH	10-30	Rasmussen	D +9	42%	51%	0%	7%	3%	940 L	9
MN	10-30	Survey USA	D +5	42%	47%	6%	4%	4%	596 L	8
MA	10-30	Western New England University	R +5	46%	41%	5%	8%	5%	430 L	5
KS	10-30	Fox News	D +6	42%	48%	4%	6%	3%	907 L	25
IA	10-30	Fox News	R +17	53%	36%	5%	6%	3%	911 L	0
IA	10-30	Rasmussen	R +18	55%	37%	3%	4%	3%	990 L	2
GA	10-30	Marist College	R +5	48%	43%	3%	5%	4%	603 L	2
CT	10-30	Rasmussen	D +1	47%	48%	2%	4%	3%	977 L	11
AR	10-30	Public Policy Polling	R +10	51%	41%	4%	4%	3%	1,092 L	1
AK	10-30	Rasmussen	I +7	43%	0%	50%	7%	4%	887 L	7
PA	10-29	Muhlenberg College	D +12	39%	51%	0%	10%	5%	409 L	6
OK	10-29	SoonerPoll	R +8	48%	40%	5%	7%	3%	949 L	8
NH	10-29	ARG	D +2	46%	48%	0%	6%	4%	600 L	3
MA	10-29	Boston Globe	R +7	44%	37%	7%	11%	4%	600 L	4
MA	10-29	Emerson College	R +6	48%	42%	6%	5%	4%	627 L	29
MA	10-29	Suffolk University	R +3	46%	43%	5%	6%	4%	500 L	5
ME	10-29	Ipsos	Tie	42%	42%	13%	2%	5%	488 L	2
GA	10-29	Landmark Communications	R +2	48%	46%	4%	3%	3%	1,500 L	16
CO	10-29	Public Policy Polling	Tie	47%	47%	0%	5%	4%	573 L
CO	10-29	Survey USA	Tie	46%	46%	4%	4%	4%	618 L	9

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