Election 2024 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2023-12-20 Version:4

Prediction Map

jaichind Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

jaichind Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	16
Rep	16
Ind	2
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	12
Ind	2
Tos	7
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-1	-4	12	4	16	-4
Rep	+4	+1	+5	0	0	0	9	2	11	+5
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	2	0	2	-1

Predicted Senate Control (119th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	16	0	16
Republican	16	0	16
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						252
2022 Senate	31/35	26/35	57/70	81.4%		5	1	124	T	305
2022 Governor	33/36	24/36	57/72	79.2%		8	0	130	T	272
2020 President	49/56	42/56	91/112	81.3%		18	5	359	T	684
2020 Senate	32/35	24/35	56/70	80.0%		4	4	44	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		2	281	147	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	1/3	2/6	33.3%		3	4	130	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	23/35	56/70	80.0%		8	1	42	T	483
2018 Governor	33/36	31/36	64/72	88.9%		8	2	1		372
2017 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	3	98	T	149
2016 President	53/56	36/56	89/112	79.5%		18	4	17	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	18/34	49/68	72.1%		9	1	120	T	362
2016 Governor	11/12	7/12	18/24	75.0%		5	1	3	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		3	33	57	T	112
2014 Senate	35/36	21/36	56/72	77.8%		9	1	99	T	382
2014 Governor	32/36	14/36	46/72	63.9%		11	1	123	T	300
2012 President	50/56	35/56	85/112	75.9%		15	12	614	T	760
2010 Senate	33/37	25/37	58/74	78.4%		5	0	86	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	23/37	57/74	77.0%		11	0	91	T	312
2008 President	51/56	30/56	81/112	72.3%		9	1	474	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	22/33	54/66	81.8%		1	1	65	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	15/36	49/72	68.1%		2	0	147	T	312
2004 President	55/56	44/56	99/112	88.4%		6	1	10	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	677/737	469/737	1146/1474	77.7%

User Info

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Links

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