Election 2024 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2023-12-15 Version:1

Prediction Map

S019 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

S019 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	14
Rep	18
Ind	2
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	13
Rep	14
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	0	0	-4	-2	-6	11	3	14	-6
Rep	+5	+2	+7	0	0	0	9	2	11	+7
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	2	0	2	-1

Predicted Senate Control (119th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	14	0	14
Republican	18	0	18
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						253
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		2	66	74	T	115
2022 Senate	33/35	30/35	63/70	90.0%		10	3	16	T	305
2022 Governor	34/36	29/36	63/72	87.5%		6	3	11	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		2	62	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	44/56	97/112	86.6%		6	6	103	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	20/35	50/70	71.4%		10	12	274	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%		4	14	211	T	293
2019 Governor	1/3	0/3	1/6	16.7%		1	137	179	T	192
Aggregate Predictions	165/181	131/181	296/362	81.8%

User Info

S019 Forum Profile

Links

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