Election 2024 Senatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2024-04-11 Version:1

Prediction Map

BigVic Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

BigVic Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	19
Rep	13
Ind	2
Non	16

Confidence States Won

		18 \|	34 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	10
Ind	2
Tos	5
Non	16

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	0	+1	-1	-1	-2	14	4	18	-1
Rep	+1	+1	+2	0	0	0	9	2	11	+2
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	2	0	2	-1

Predicted Senate Control (119th Congress):

Party	Seats Up	Seats Not Up	Total Seats
Democratic	19	0	19
Republican	13	0	13
Independent	2	0	2

pie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						253
2023 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		1	18	99	T	115
2022 Senate	32/35	18/35	50/70	71.4%		1	52	266	T	305
2020 President	55/56	41/56	96/112	85.7%		14	5	130	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	19/35	50/70	71.4%		5	5	274	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%		1	208	147	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	18/35	50/70	71.4%		1	18	246	T	483
2016 President	50/56	31/56	81/112	72.3%		7	4	194	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	16/34	45/68	66.2%		5	3	277	T	362
2016 Governor	7/12	3/12	10/24	41.7%		3	309	254	T	279
2014 Senate	30/36	12/36	42/72	58.3%		2	0	308	T	382
2014 Governor	24/36	11/36	35/72	48.6%		1	156	281	T	300
Aggregate Predictions	303/349	176/349	479/698	68.6%

User Info

BigVic Forum Profile

Links

	Senatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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