Election 2022 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2022-11-07 Version:1

Prediction Map

stry_cat Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

stry_cat Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	9
Rep	27
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	11
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	0	+1	+1	-7	-1	-8	6	2	8	-7
Rep	+7	+1	+8	0	-1	-1	15	4	19	+7
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

The R wave is going to spill over to the races for Governor

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						257
2022 Senate	29/35	19/35	48/70	68.6%		1	1	280	T	305
2022 Governor	27/36	16/36	43/72	59.7%		1	1	260	T	272
2020 President	43/56	37/56	80/112	71.4%		2	39	627	T	684
2016 President	46/56	23/56	69/112	61.6%		4	12	579	T	678
2012 President	54/56	39/56	93/112	83.0%		2	1	401	T	760
2012 Senate	27/33	9/33	36/66	54.5%		1	11	297	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	4/11	13/22	59.1%		1	11	179	T	228
2010 Senate	31/37	18/37	49/74	66.2%		1	1	242	T	456
2008 President	50/56	33/56	83/112	74.1%		3	8	404	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	30/33	16/33	46/66	69.7%		3	2	257	T	465
2004 President	51/56	28/56	79/112	70.5%		23	1	1285	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	397/465	242/465	639/930	68.7%

Links

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