ProgressiveModerate
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« on: April 29, 2024, 10:49:37 PM » |
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This district has traditionally been a bastion of Democratic strength in Michigan but became much more competitive in the Trump era, with the current configuration going from Obama + 17 in 2012 to just Biden + 2 today. This seat contains many poorer and dying cities like Flint and Saginaw, as well as a decent amount of rural Michigan. Generally low college attainment and lost population according to the last census.
There are a few optimistic signs for Biden though. For one he improved on Clintons 1% win in 2016. Furthermore, Democrats generally held up fine here in 2022 with Kildee winning by 10%, Whitmer carried the seat by 11%.
Who carries this seat and by how much could be key for who wins the very competative open house race here.
Can Biden hold onto this seat?
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