13 Keys to the White House (leaning) (user search)
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May 28, 2024, 10:56:42 PM
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  2024 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, GeorgiaModerate, KoopaDaQuick 🇵🇸)
  13 Keys to the White House (leaning) (search mode)
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Author Topic: 13 Keys to the White House (leaning)  (Read 776 times)
SteveRogers
duncan298
YaBB God
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Posts: 4,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -5.04

« on: April 28, 2024, 11:41:13 AM »





So if Biden wins, Lichtman gets to claim success. If Trump wins, Lichtman will decide that the "Challenger charisma" key should've been flipped the other way all along. Cool cool.
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SteveRogers
duncan298
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,204


Political Matrix
E: -3.87, S: -5.04

« Reply #1 on: April 28, 2024, 04:21:25 PM »

I appreciate how they’re quibbling over the 3rd party vote because one says 10% and the other says 9.5%.
It’s almost as if having one key that can’t actually be determined until after we (*checks notes*) know the results of the election might be a flaw in Lichtman’s election model.
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